Since 2005, I've been making...

• Pitcher Injury Predictions

Many of which, sadly, have been dead on...

Alex Reyes makes me nervous. Elbow and also shoulder.

pic.twitter.com/J1i0iMckOb

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) March 31, 2014

Sometimes, remarkably so.

Assuming Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer stay healthy, which is a TALL order.

I'm not sure deGrom even makes it out of Spring Training.

And Scherzer might not do much better.

ROUGH time to be a Mets fan.

Mets still haven't learned how to manage pitching injury risk. https://t.co/jR8VJIT0y2

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball + Critical Thinking (@thepainguy) December 25, 2021

Predictions by Chris O'Leary of Pitcher Injuries

Just a few HOURS before Jack Flaherty broke again, on June 26, 2022, I put together this one-pager and tweeted this.

A NEW one-page overview and explainer of the epidemic of injuries in baseball pitchers using Jack Flaherty of the Cardinals as the case study. pic.twitter.com/OODUc21DbF

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball + Critical Thinking (@thepainguy) June 26, 2022

It follows what I say about Jack Flaherty in January 2022.

This 2021 picture provides a good summary of my concerns about Jack Flaherty.https://t.co/Qd0W23jzXU

I'm not convinced Flaherty's problems are over.

Not nearly. pic.twitter.com/mXu5RkjoKQ

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball + Critical Thinking (@thepainguy) January 15, 2022

I make predictions about pitchers not because I enjoy it, but because it helps prove I know what I'm talking about.

Imagine the Brewers, with Yelich and the rest of THAT offense, fizzling out due to a lack of starting pitching.

It could happen.

And happened to the Cubs.

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) April 16, 2019

Freddy Peralta's got your standard Timing problem at least.

https://t.co/zxLh9YLwMN

If not Flat Arm Syndrome.

https://t.co/rH9ObB4qyx

As does pretty much EVERY Brewers pitcher.

Brewers need to sign Keuchel because, otherwise, they're gonna run out of pitchers.

Ala Dodgers.

pic.twitter.com/nUQgVrGfpj

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) April 16, 2019

Think about it...

- Peralta
- Chacin
- Burnes
- Woodruff
- Davies
- Nelson

That's a LOT of risk.

An unbalanced portfolio.

No, they won't ALL break at once.

But they don't have to.

A couple just have to stumble...

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) April 16, 2019

What's going to get Jordan Hicks -- probably elbow then shoulder -- is Pronation.

Specifically PREMATURE Pronation.

https://t.co/6gerSg7uZj

Like Alex Reyes, as he goes into Foot Plant, Jordan Hicks pronates his pitching arm, going thumb down, making his pitching arm LATE.

pic.twitter.com/VFxmOi8tPB

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) January 22, 2019

Reds and their fans need to prepare themselves psychologically to not see Hunter Greene pitch during 2019.

I see too many parallels with Alex Reyes.

And a real, looming concern is first it gets Hunter Greene's elbow and then it gets his shoulder.

https://t.co/cRExBUSVCS pic.twitter.com/TJTQLPbyMj

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) January 22, 2019

Zack Wheeler need not worry about starting.

Here's the position of Matt Harvey's pitching arm when his shoulders start to turn.

Matt Harvey WILL get hurt.

Again.

And, perhaps, for the last time.

Which is tragic.

https://t.co/hViwvC2TqB pic.twitter.com/9J318J05AI

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) February 21, 2018

I feel so bad for Mets fans.

And for Matt Harvey.

Nothing has changed for Harvey, so nothing will change.

He WILL get hurt again. Again. And again...

https://t.co/hViwvC2TqB https://t.co/otVH3ZeqdJ

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) December 12, 2017

When Matt Harvey breaks again, again it will be because he didn't fix his pitching mechanics. Again. Again. Again...

https://t.co/hViwvC2TqB pic.twitter.com/067HPiUfKA

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) July 18, 2017

When Matt Harvey breaks, again, it will be because he didn't change anything, again.

https://t.co/hViwvC2TqB PTB@2B https://t.co/dR5MoZ0lpT pic.twitter.com/lspXcEsd9W

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) February 15, 2017

When Matt Harvey breaks again, this is why. Didn't change anything after my 1st prediction.

https://t.co/hViwvC2TqB pic.twitter.com/BhJSJD1mcG

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) April 7, 2016

. @SABRCoach Just a matter of time b4 Matt Harvey breaks down again. Nothing has changed so why will anything change?

pic.twitter.com/K5Qj0vYNeH

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) April 18, 2015

. @DMaus14 Best case Harvey's elbow lasts a few years then goes again. Worst case the shoulder goes. More here...

http://t.co/rz69vIBaDl

— Chris O'Leary | Baseball (@thepainguy) December 5, 2014